Ionospheric Bubble Probability (IBP)

The ionospheric bubble probability statistical model is a Swarm L2 product, named IBP_CLI. The output of the Ionospheric Bubble Probability (IBP) product is an index, that depends on the day of year or the month of the year, geographic longitude, local time and solar flux index.

The output floating point index ranges 0-1 and characterizes the percentage probability of low latitude bubble occurence at the specified time, location and solar flux.

This empirical IBP model has been derived from magnetic observations obtained by the CHAMP and Swarm missions. The model is representative for the altitude range 350 - 500 km and low geographic latitudes of +/- 45 degree.

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Indices and tables